Four swans of the Black Sea - Security scenarios for a contested region
The EU needs to invest more in safeguarding the Black Sea region. Its forthcoming Black Sea strategy must therefore have a strong security component. The Union’s responses to Russia’s aggressive behaviour will be crucial in shaping the region’s future security. Four potential scenarios may be envisaged for the next decade: ‘Lake Interregnum’, ‘European Lake’, ‘Russian Lake’ and ‘Frozen Lake’. To